Halefold
Proteins that fold the way they should
A folding engine that scores its own confidence per residue, so you know which parts of a predicted protein to trust before you spend a month at the bench.
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Founder journal
Acidic pH range (5.8–6.2) fixed: 97.8%. Basic range (7.8–8.2) still drifts at 95.3% — counterion dynamics, not what I expected. Asymmetric problem. Working it.
Protonation solver converged: 97.1%. Up from 96.4%, and that half-point cost me a week. pH 5.8–6.2 and 7.8–8.2 still drift. Fixing the extremes next.
pH sweep done: 5.8–8.2 breaks 23 residues. Protonation solver running. First numbers: 96.4%. Down from 97.2% — expected. Right problem, wrong weights. Fixing.
One of the two residue families cracked: 97.2%. The other stalls under pH variation — electrostatic, not structural. Different fix, longer road.
Loop closure fix shipped. Disordered regions now at 96.8% — up 2.7pts. Two stubborn residue families left. Root understood, not guessed. Fixing the right thing.
Fold accuracy 94.1% across 2,400 proteins. Loop closure still failing on disordered regions — root cause found, fix queued. Not marketing, just math.
Reweight on all 4 tyrosine clusters: done. Accuracy moves to 83.4%. Still 2.6 points short. Distribution narrowing. Real signal, not a lucky batch.
Tyrosine loops: 3 of 4 remaining error clusters. Flagged. Working targeted reweighting now. 82.1% holds. I fix the right thing, not the fast thing.
Week 12: accuracy at 82.1%, still 4pts short. The unexpected good news — error modes are clustering, not spreading. We know what we're missing now.
67% on chain-break residues. Found why: terminal charged residues drive most of the error. Working a context extension. Interior holds at 79%.
Chain-break fix: 64% on those residues vs 61% before. Slow. Interior is 79%. I'm not going to pretend 3 points is the breakthrough. Still closing.
Complex drift isolated to residues near chain breaks: 61% there, 79% elsewhere. Gap is cleanable. We know where we are wrong now. Working the fix.
Inter-chain contacts: 58% now. That is up from 42%, and I will not pretend it is good yet. Single-chain confidence holds. Complex confidence still drifts.
Multi-chain test: 71%. The inter-chain contacts were the problem. Still are, but now we measure them. Confidence output disagrees with itself less. Progress.
OOD test: 63% on held-out folds. Not great. Not a lie. Re-ran with ESM embeddings: 67%. Gains are real but modest — I am not calling this solved.
Crossed 60% on the main fold. Confidence still local; we know where we don't know. Boring work, boring numbers, real. Next week: out of domain generalization.
57 percent and climbing. A bench group trusted three high confidence regions and skipped validating them: all three held. Next: calibration on complexes.
53 percent. Hit a wall on membrane proteins, so I split the confidence head by context. They report low and admit it. When we say 90, it is 90.
49 percent, and a confession: I sold my founder stake into a real bid. But I enjoyed it, and that is the part of me I trust least. Work continues.
44 percent. Reweighted the loss by local stability. Cost: disordered tails score worse, and I let them. Trust the trustworthy parts, say so about the rest.
Day one, embarrassing number first: 41 percent per residue agreement, no cherry picking. Calibrated doubt beats confident error. We climb from here.
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